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Stratfor: Defining al Qaeda

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The Obama administration's efforts to counter the threat posed by al Qaeda and the wider jihadist movement have been a contentious topic...

Stratfor: Protest movements as political strategy

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Recent protests throughout Sudan are the latest in an ongoing trend of protest movements around the world, from Muslim Brotherhood supporters in...

Stratfor: Insurgency and the Protracted War

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In recent weeks, insurgent forces in several countries have been forced to withdraw from territories they once held. Somalia's al Shabaab, which...

Stratfor: NATO’s ordinary future

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Whatever one thought of the Libya intervention, the details make for a bad advertisement about NATO. As one U.S. Air Force planner...

Stratfor: The state of the world: Germany’s strategy

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The idea of Germany having an independent national strategy runs counter to everything that Germany has wanted to be since World War...

Stratfor: Detection points in the terrorist attack cycle

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Last week's Security Weekly discussed the fact that terrorism is a tactic used by many different classes of actors and that, while...

Stratfor: Detection points in the terrorist attack cycle

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Last week's Security Weekly discussed the fact that terrorism is a tactic used by many different classes of actors and that,...

Stratfor: The state of the world – explaining US strategy

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The fall of the Soviet Union ended the European epoch, the period in which European power dominated the world. It left the...

Stratfor: The myth of the end of terrorism

In this week's Geopolitical Weekly, George Friedman discussed the geopolitical cycles that change with each generation. Frequently, especially in recent years, those...

Stratfor: The State of the World – A Framework

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Editor's Note: This is the first installment of a new series on the national strategies of today's global power and other regional...

Stratfor: Disparity in the covert war between Iran and the West

Within thirty minutes of each other on Monday, a "sticky bomb" attached to the back of a van detonated in New Delhi,...

Stratfor Special Report – Hamas In Transition

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After more than five years of existing in political stalemate, Hamas is now trying to manage a worsening relationship with Iran and...

Stratfor: Egypt looks to rein in NGOs

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Egypt provided the formal charges against 43 members of nongovernmental organisations (NGOs), including 19 Americans, and their organisations. Among the charges were...

Stratfor: Iran’s Deterrence Strategy in the Strait of Hormuz

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Iranian naval exercises scheduled for February underscore a strategy that is both political and military: To deter an attack, Iran must enhance...

Stratfor: Afghanistan – moving toward a distant endgame

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US Defence Secretary Leon Panetta suggested last week that the United States could wrap up combat operations in Afghanistan by the end...

China and Russia act to block a new precedent for intervention

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China and Russia vetoed a resolution on Syria this weekend that the United States and others had introduced at the UN Security...

Stratfor: Russia and the United States – pushing tensions to the...

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As Russia and the United States prepare for their respective presidential elections, tensions between the countries are growing. The central point of...

Stratfor: The Tuaregs – from African nomads to smugglers and mercenaries

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The Tuaregs, a nomadic tribe in North and West Africa, dominated the caravan trade through the Sahara Desert for thousands of years....

Stratfor: Mali besieged by fighters fleeing Libya

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Mali has experienced perhaps the most significant external repercussions from the downfall of the regime of Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi. Stratfor has...

Stratfor: The challenging politics of UAVs in Southwest Asia

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US President Barack Obama on Monday publicly acknowledged that the CIA has been conducting unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) strikes in Pakistan's tribal...

Stratfor: Syrian regime may survive, but with reduced clout

A day after the Arab League announced that it is suspending its monitoring mission in Syria, Syrian activists continued their claims that...

Stratfor: Germany’s role in Europe and the European debt crisis

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The German government proposed last week that a European commissioner be appointed to supplant the Greek government. While phrasing the German proposal...

Stratfor: Nigeria’s Boko Haram militants remain a regional threat

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The Nigerian militant group Boko Haram conducted a series of bombing attacks and armed assaults Jan. 20 in the northern city of...

Stratfor: Arab Uprising, One Year Later

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Wednesday marked the first anniversary of the first day of public unrest in Egypt, which led to former Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak's...

Stratfor: A Hezbollah Threat in Thailand?

On Jan. 12, Thai authorities arrested a man they say was a member of the Lebanon-based Shiite militant group Hezbollah who...

Stratfor: Iran, the US and the Strait of Hormuz crisis

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The United States reportedly sent a letter to Iran via multiple intermediaries last week warning Tehran that any attempt to close the...

Stratfor: Armed UAV operations 10 years on

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One of the most iconic images of the American-led wars in Iraq and Afghanistan -- as well as global U.S. counterterrorism efforts...

The Hack on Stratfor

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In early December I received a call from Fred Burton, Stratfor's Vice President of Intelligence. He told me he had received information...

Stratfor: Turkey’s limited options for projecting power in North Africa

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Mustafa Abdel-Jalil, the head of Libya's National Transitional Council (NTC), said in an interview published in Turkish media last month that Turkey...

Stratfor: Egypt and the Idealist-Realist Debate in U.S. Foreign Policy

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The first round of Egyptian parliamentary elections has taken place, and the winners were two Islamist parties. The Islamists themselves are split...

Stratfor: Pakistan, Russia and the threat to the Afghan war

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Days after the Pakistanis closed their borders to the passage of fuel and supplies for the NATO-led war effort in Afghanistan, for...

Stratfor: Syria, Iran and the Balance of Power in the Middle...

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U.S. troops are in the process of completing their withdrawal from Iraq by the end-of-2011 deadline. We are now moving toward a...

Stratfor: Europe’s crisis – beyond finance

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Everyone is wondering about the next disaster to befall Europe.  Italy is one focus; Spain is also a possibility. But these crises...

Stratfor: Europe, the international system and a generational shift

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Change in the international system comes in large and small doses, but fundamental patterns generally stay consistent. From 1500 to 1991, for...

Stratfor: Dissecting a Mexican cartel bombing in Monterrey

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Early Oct. 20, a small sedan apparently filled with cartel gunmen rapidly pulled in front of a military vehicle, drawing the military...

Stratfor: Libya – the difficult task ahead

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On Oct. 23, three days after the fall of Moammar Gadhafi's last outpost, the National Transitional Council (NTC) officially declared the liberation...

Stratfor: Libya and Iraq: The Price of Success

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In a week when the European crisis continued building, the White House chose publicly to focus on announcements about the end of...

Stratfor: Reflections on the Iranian assassination plot

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On Oct. 11, the U.S. Department of Justice announced that two men had been charged in New York with taking part in...

Stratfor: From the Mediterranean to the Hindu Kush – rethinking the...

The territory between the Mediterranean and the Hindu Kush has been the main arena for the U.S. intervention that followed the 9/11...

Stratfor: Growing concern over the NYPD’s counterterrorism methods

In response to the 9/11 attacks, the New York Police Department (NYPD) established its own Counter-Terrorism Bureau and revamped its Intelligence Division....

Stratfor geopolitical journey: riots in Cairo

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The last time I visited Cairo, prior to the ouster of then-Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, a feeling of helplessness pervaded the streets....

Stratfor: Yemen – Fallout from the al-Awlaki airstrike

U.S.-born Yemeni cleric Anwar al-Awlaki, an ideologue and spokesman for al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), al Qaeda's franchise in Yemen,...

Stratfor: European crisis – precise solutions in an imprecise reality

An important disconnect over the discussion of the future of the European Union exists, one that divides into three parts. First, there...

Stratfor: Cutting through the lone-wolf hype

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Lone wolf. The mere mention of the phrase invokes a sense of fear and dread. It conjures up images of an unknown,...

Stratfor: Obama’s dilemma: US foreign policy and electoral realities

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STRATFOR does not normally involve itself in domestic American politics. Our focus is on international affairs, and American politics, like politics everywhere,...

Stratfor: the crisis of Europe and European nationalism

When I visited Europe in 2008 and before, the idea that Europe was not going to emerge as one united political entity...

The Geopolitics of the United States

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Like nearly all of the peoples of North and South America, most Americans are not originally from the territory that became the...

Stratfor: 9/11 and the successful war

It has been 10 years since 9/11, and all of us who write about such things for a living are writing about...

Stratfor: Why al-Qaeda is unlikely to execute another 9/11

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It is Sept. 1, and that means we are once again approaching the anniversary of al Qaeda's Sept. 11, 2001, attacks against...

Stratfor: Libya: a premature victory celebration

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The war in Libya is over. More precisely, governments and media have decided that the war is over, despite the fact...

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