Israel sees cracks in Syrian power structures amid increasingly violent unrest, and there are signs President Bashar al-Assad may not be in power for long, said Defence Minister Ehud Barak.
Fourteen civilians were killed in a crackdown on dissent against Assad’s rule on Saturday, activists said. The United Nations says at least 3,500 people have died since March.
Barak said members of Syria’s security services, the armed forces and the civil service were starting to assess Assad’s future and were working out how to hedge their bets, Reuters reports.
“As a result of it, I believe that we see for the first time, some cracks appearing in the support that he enjoys within his own arena,” he told the Halifax Security Forum in Atlantic Canada.
Assad has come under growing international pressure to end the crackdown. Syrian authorities blame the violence on foreign-backed armed groups which they say have killed some 1,100 soldiers and police.
Barak said it was significant that King Abdullah of Jordan has called on Assad to step down and that the Arab League suspended Syria this month.
“That is a real signal that there is acceleration towards the end of this regime,” he said.
Syria remains in a formal state of war with Israel, which seized the Golan Heights in 1967. It also has alliances with Iran as well as militant groups Hamas and Hezbollah.
Barak said the Assad family had reigned over Syrians for 40 years “like a medieval fiefdom in Italy somewhere on the mountains. It’s an iron fist.”
Asked about Assad’s possible downfall and Syria’s links to Hezbollah, Barak said: “It will damage these radical axes and they will make them somehow weaker. It will weaken Hezbollah, it will weaken Hamas.
“In this regard, it’s good, but it’s not just for Israel, but I believe it’s good for the Middle East as a whole.”