Boeing projects a demand for 36 770 new airplanes over the next 20 years, an increase of 4,2 % from last year’s forecast.
The company released its annual Current Market Outlook (CMO) this week in London, estimating the total value of those new airplanes at $5,2 trillion.
“This market is strong and resilient,” said Randy Tinseth, vice president of Marketing, Boeing Commercial Airplanes. “With new and more efficient airplanes entering service the growth in air travel is being driven by customers who want to fly where they want, when they want.”
Fuelling this year’s forecast is the single-aisle market, projected to be the fastest growing and most dynamic segment due to the continued emergence of low-cost carriers. More than 25 600 new airplanes will be needed in this segment, making up 70%of the total units in the forecast.
“Based on the overwhelming amount of orders and deliveries we see the heart of the single-aisle market in the 160-seat range. There’s no question the market is converging to this size, where network flexibility and cost efficiency meet. The Next-Generation 737-800 and new 737 MAX 8 offer our customers the most revenue potential in this mid-sized space,” Tinseth said.
Boeing forecasts that 8 600 new airplanes will be needed in the twin-aisle segment, led by small wide-body airplanes in the 200 to 300 seat range such as the 787-8 and 787-9 Dreamliner. This year’s forecast reflects a continued shift in demand from very large airplanes to efficient new twin-engine products such as the 787-10 and new 777X.
“With the most comprehensive wide-body line-up in the industry, we’re confident we will meet our customers’ needs now and in the future,” Tinseth added.
The Asia/Pacific market is seen as the biggest over the next 20 years with an uptake of more than 13 000 airplanes. North America is second (7 550) followed by Europe (7 450) and the Middle East. The Boeing forecast sees Africa adding 1 080 airplanes to its continental fleet in this time frame.